Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 9 Spring 2014, Question 12

Study guide: Exam 9

A company's capital allocation will be based on a simulation of 1,000 underwriting outcomes for the three lines of business that the company writes.

The company will use proportional allocation based on one of the following two risk measures:

  • 99.5% conditional tail expectation (CTE).
  • 99.5% value at risk (VaR).

The 10 worst loss scenarios for each line, sorted independently, are in the table below.

Rank Line A Loss Line B Loss Line C Loss Total Loss
1 1,000 10,000 1,500 11,500
2 985 9,000 1,000 9,000
3 980 8,800 975 9,500
4 925 7,900 950 8,700
5 850 4,000 940 7,000
6 650 2,000 750 2,400
7 500 1,000 675 1,190
8 495 950 600 1,185
9 490 900 500 1,165
10 485 800 450 1,150

Part a (1.25 points)

Calculate the allocation percentages for each line using both risk measures.

Part b (1 point)

The company is primarily concerned with holding enough capital to cover the magnitude of a shortfall event. Contrast how well each of the allocation bases will address the company's primary concern.

Part c (0.5 points)

Describe the impact to the amount of capital allocated to line B if the company were to use a CTE co-measures approach at the 99.5% level.

No current syllabus covers this question; it is kept for the record.

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