Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 8 Fall 2017, Question 19

Study guide: Exam 9

A primary insurer wants to institute a swing plan with the following terms:

  • Layer: $500,000 xs $500,000 per claim
  • Premium = Layer Losses * 1.3
  • Minimum Premium = $100,000
  • Maximum Premium = $325,000

The reinsurer has analyzed the insurer's experience. All claims are closed and trend has been applied.

Accident Year On-Level Premium Claim #1 Claim #2 Claim #3 Claim #4
2012 400,000 465,899 230,567 512,017
2013 420,000 240,785 125,766 80,154 470,666
2014 1,200,000 704,895 106,528
2015 2,000,000 45,988 349,145 376,011 1,246,852
2016 2,200,000 437,100 654,158 250,000 156,750

Part a (1.5 points)

Calculate the expected loss ratio for the reinsurer based on the empirical distribution model using equal weights for each year.

Part b (0.5 points)

Determine if an empirical distribution model is appropriate for this account and give one reason in support of your answer.

Part c (1 point)

The use of a collective risk model is an alternative approach. Explain two concerns when using this type of model.

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Concepts tested

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