Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 8 Fall 2012, Question 3

Study guide: Exam 8

The table below shows property claim frequency by year for the last five years. Assume that claim frequencies are Poisson distributed with a mean of 1.5.

Year Exposures Frequency
2011 118 1.5
2010 132 1.7
2009 121 1.3
2008 109 1.6
2007 97 1.3

The critical value for the relevant chi-squared distribution is 9.49.

Part a (1.25 points)

Calculate the chi-squared test statistic for whether the claim frequency is shifting over time. Interpret the result.

Part b (0.5 points)

Describe a second method for testing whether the claim frequency is shifting over time.

Answer this question and see the worked solution

Concepts tested

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