Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 8 Fall 2012, Question 17

Study guide: Exam 8

An actuary wants to calculate excess ratios for a book of business based on actual data below $200,000, and from a mix of actual data and a fitted Pareto-exponential curve above $200,000. The following data has been compiled:

Accident Limit Observed Excess Ratios by Hazard Group: HG A HG B HG C
$50,000 0.42 0.46 0.58
$100,000 0.21 0.26 0.38
$150,000 0.11 0.16 0.26
$200,000 0.06 0.11 0.18
$250,000 0.04 0.08 0.13
$300,000 0.03 0.06 0.10
$500,000 0.01 0.03 0.05
Excess Ratios from Mixed Pareto-Exponential: Entry Ratio Excess Ratio
0.25 0.785
0.50 0.625
0.75 0.500
1.00 0.400
1.25 0.340
1.50 0.290
1.75 0.255
2.00 0.220
Hazard Group Average Size of Loss Truncated and Shifted to $200,000
HG A $75,000
HG B $100,000
HG C $200,000

Part a (1.25 points)

Calculate the excess ratios for the following limits and hazard groups (HG):

  • i. HG A; $50,000
  • ii. HG B; $300,000

Part b (0.75 points)

Briefly discuss three advantages of using this methodology to generate excess ratios.

Part c (0.5 points)

Discuss whether it would be reasonable to fit a single curve rather than multiple curves by hazard group.

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Concepts tested

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