Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 7 Spring 2014, Question 8

Study guide: Exam 7

Given the following information as of December 31, 2013:

  • An insurer had written only homeowners insurance until it began writing workers compensation on January 1, 2012.
  • Five independent models were run for workers compensation and one independent model was run for homeowners, producing the following modeled coefficients of variation for accident year ultimate loss:
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
Homeowners 5% - - - -
Workers Compensation 21% 9% 45% N/A 38%
  • Model 4 failed to produce valid predictors for workers compensation.
  • The claims adjusting process for homeowners has recently become automated.
  • The company uses a third party to adjust medical claims for workers compensation. Claim information is received from the third party on a quarterly basis.
  • In-house homeowners claims staff meet regularly with the valuation actuary.

Part a (1.5 points)

Identify and define the three main components of internal systemic risk when determining liability risk margins for a book of business.

Part b (1.5 points)

Identify one potential risk indicator for each line of business under each risk component listed in part a. above.

Part c (1.5 points)

Briefly discuss whether each indicator in part b. above would receive a more or less favorable score on a balanced scorecard.

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Concepts tested

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