Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 6C Spring 2017, Question 10

Study guide: Exam 6C

The following information is provided about a community exposed to flood risk:

  • There are 10,000 properties
  • All properties are identical and valued at $500,000
  • A flood event will cause 25% damage proportional to the property's value
  • The market charges insurance premiums that are equal to expected losses
  • The Flood Insurance Participation Rate is the percentage of property owners that purchase flood insurance

A government agency is evaluating three flood risk management options:

Risk Management Option One-Time Cost of Infrastructure Improvements Flood Loss Return Period (Years) Flood Insurance Participation Rate
1. Not investing in additional infrastructure $0 50 50%
2. Building a dike $100,000,000 250 75%
3. Building a floodway $150,000,000 500 100%

Evaluate, over a five-year horizon, which of the three options above the government agency should implement.

Part a (3 points)

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Concepts tested

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