Actuarial Notes

Exam 5 Practice Question 3

Study guide: Exam 5

An actuary is measuring severity trend for a ratemaking analysis. Accident-year average severities are:

Accident year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Average severity 4,800 4,950 5,130 5,240 5,430

The actuary selects the trend from a linear least-squares fit to these five points and applies it to the accident year 2024 average severity over a trend period of 2.75 years.

Calculate the projected average severity.

  • A) 5,536
  • B) 5,585
  • C) 5,856
  • D) 5,903
  • E) 6,050

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