Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Fall 2019, Question 18

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following data evaluated as of December 31, 2018:

Accident Year Cumulative Paid Claims ($000) as of 12 months 24 36 48
2015 1,200 2,325 2,900 3,100
2016 1,800 3,300 4,100
2017 1,500 2,800
2018 1,700
Accident Year Case Outstanding ($000) as of 12 months 24 36 48
2015 1,500 800 400 160
2016 2,000 1,150 575
2017 1,750 975
2018 2,200
Value Item
1.15 48-Ult paid claim to prior case outstanding development factor
  • There is no paid or reported development beyond 60 months.

Part a (1.5 points)

Estimate unpaid claims for accident year 2018 as of December 31, 2018 using a case outstanding development technique.

Part b (0.25 points)

Briefly describe a scenario where it would be appropriate to use the case outstanding development technique.

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Concepts tested

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