Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2019, Question 13

Study guide: Exam 5

An insurer writes private passenger automobile liability coverage in two states. Given the following bodily injury (BI) and property damage (PD) information as of December 31, 2018:

State A:

Accident Year Earned Exposure Ultimate Claim Count BI Ultimate Claim Count PD
2016 36,000 50 950
2017 37,800 60 1,140
2018 41,580 72 1,368
Coverage Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 12-to-Ult Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 24-to-Ult Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 36-to-Ult
BI 5.00 1.50 1.20
PD 1.20 1.01 1.00
Coverage Ultimate Severity
BI 15,000
PD 5,000

State B:

Accident Year Earned Exposure Ultimate Claim Count BI Ultimate Claim Count PD
2016 100,000 1,250 5,000
2017 105,000 1,300 5,200
2018 110,250 1,375 5,500
Coverage Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 12-to-Ult Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 24-to-Ult Paid Age-to-Ultimate Factors 36-to-Ult
BI 9.00 2.10 1.30
PD 1.30 1.01 1.00
Coverage Ultimate Severity
BI 10,000
PD 2,500
  • There is no exposure, claim count, or severity trend.

Part a (0.5 points)

Discuss an argument for performing a bodily injury and property damage combined unpaid claims analysis for state A.

Part b (0.5 points)

Discuss an argument against performing an all-state combined unpaid claims analysis for bodily injury.

Part c (0.75 points)

Fully evaluate management's assertion that State A should be charged a higher premium than State B for bodily injury coverage due to its higher ultimate severity.

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Concepts tested

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