Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Fall 2017, Question 8

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following information about an insurance product filing with annual policies:

  • 2018 projected pure premium = $350.
  • Loss cost annual trend = 3%.
  • Premium annual trend = 4%.
  • Fixed expense per exposure, new business = $50.
  • Fixed expense per exposure, renewals = $6.
  • Variable expense ratio = 18%.
  • Profit and contingencies provision = 6%.
  • LAE provision = 10% of loss.
  • Retention ratio = 80%.
  • Discount rate = 5%.

Part a (1.5 points)

Calculate the new business premium per exposure for 2018 indicated by a lifetime value analysis using a two-year time horizon.

Part b (0.75 points)

Fully justify the use of lifetime value analysis in a rate indication using the Statement of Principles Regarding Property and Casualty Ratemaking.

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