Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Fall 2017, Question 21

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following information:

Accident Year On-Level Earned Premium ($000) Cumulative Reported Claims ($000) Reported CDF to Ultimate
2014 750 500 1.100
2015 800 475 1.250
2016 1,000 400 1.550
  • A legislative change effective January 1, 2016 is expected to reduce claims costs by 20% for claims occurring after the effective date.

Estimate ultimate claims for accident year 2016 using the Cape Cod technique.

Part a (1.25 points)

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Concepts tested

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