Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2015, Question 18

Study guide: Exam 5

A hospital system self-insures its professional liability exposure. The following information is given:

Accident Year Reported Claims ($000s) as of 12 months 24 months 36 months
2012 2,750 6,200 7,750
2013 2,950 6,600
2014 3,850
Calendar Year Average Occupied Beds and Outpatient Visits
2012 520
2013 530
2014 540
  • The expected average occupied beds and outpatient visits for 2015 = 575.
  • The pure premium trend = 4.0%.
  • The 36 to ultimate reported claims development factor = 1.05.

Estimate ultimate claims for the 2015 accident year using the expected claims technique and justify the expected pure premium selection.

Part a (2.25 points)

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Concepts tested

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