Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2014, Question 12

Study guide: Exam 5

An insurance company has the following information available for the four different geographic regions within the same line of business:

Earned Exposures by Accident Year

Region 2011 2012 2013
1 21,900 22,560 22,125
2 2,575 2,460 2,520
3 18,000 17,460 17,800
4 4,450 10,720 27,500

Ultimate Claim Counts by Accident Year

Region 2011 2012 2013
1 2,075 2,143 2,010
2 126 124 125
3 880 895 877
4 227 580 1,330

Observed Average Age to Age Paid Claim Development Factors (Age in Months)

Region 12-24 24-36 36-48 48-60 60-Ult
1 7.67 3.07 1.75 1.30 1.10
2 3.20 1.70 1.28 1.10 1.06
3 3.19 1.73 1.31 1.12 1.04
4 4.10 2.28 1.52 1.05 1.03

Justify an appropriate grouping of the regional data for estimating the insurer's unpaid claims for the total book of business.

Part a (1 point)

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Concepts tested

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