Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Fall 2014, Question 5

Study guide: Exam 5

The following information is available for a homeowners insurance company as of December 31, 2013:

Period (months) Reported Loss and ALAE Age-to-Age Development Factors
12-24 1.10
24-36 1.05
36-48 1.01
Calendar/Accident Year Earned Exposures (000) Amount of Insurance Years (AIY) ($000) Reported Non-Catastrophe Loss and ALAE ($000)
2011 45 13,500 23,000
2012 50 15,300 25,000
2013 40 12,500 20,000
  • Annual loss and ALAE trend = 4%.
  • Historical non-catastrophe ULAE to loss and ALAE ratio = 1.05.
  • Historical catastrophe ULAE to loss and ALAE ratio = 1.09.
  • Long-term non-modeled catastrophe loss and ALAE-to-AIY ratio = 0.25.
  • Modeled catastrophe loss and ALAE-to-AIY ratio = 0.07.
  • Rates will take effect on January 1, 2015, and will be in effect for one year.
  • All policies are annual.
  • Assume no development after 48 months.

Using three years of historical data, determine the provision for loss and LAE to be used in the pure premium indication.

Part a (3.25 points)

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Concepts tested

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