Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2013, Question 24

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following information:

Paid Claims Gross of Salvage & Subrogation

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months 48 Months
2009 $2,000 $2,400 $2,500 $2,500
2010 $2,100 $2,300 $2,400
2011 $2,100 $2,400
2012 $2,500

Paid Salvage & Subrogation

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months 48 Months
2009 $98 $166 $250 $250
2010 $105 $163 $240
2011 $107 $170
2012 $75
  • Assume no development after age 48.
  • Ultimate claims for accident year 2012 = $2,985.

Part a (0.75 points)

Using a development approach, estimate the ultimate salvage and subrogation for accident year 2012.

Part b (1.5 points)

Using a ratio approach, estimate the ultimate salvage and subrogation for accident year 2012.

Part c (0.25 points)

Briefly discuss which approach, the development or ratio approach, to select in recommending an ultimate salvage and subrogation estimate for accident year 2012.

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Concepts tested

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