Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2013, Question 10

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following information for a policy:

  • Annual earned premium = $1,000.
  • New business expected loss ratio = 60%.
  • Losses expected to decrease $25 per year.
  • New business expenses = $420.
  • Renewal business expenses = $350.
  • Probability of first renewal = 85%.
  • Probability of second renewal = 90%.
  • Probability of third renewal = 0%.
  • Assume an annual discount rate of 3%.

Part a (1.75 points)

Calculate the lifetime value of the expected total profit as a percentage of premium.

Part b (0.5 points)

Identify two considerations used in the analysis in part a above that differ from standard actuarial ratemaking techniques.

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Concepts tested

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