Actuarial Notes

Set Operations

Set Operations are the fundamental ways of combining or modifying sets — union, intersection, complement, and difference — which translate directly into logical statements about events in probability.

A \cup B = \{\, \omega : \omega \in A \text{ or } \omega \in B \,\}

A \cap B = \{\, \omega : \omega \in A \text{ and } \omega \in B \,\}

A^c = S \setminus A, \qquad A \setminus B = A \cap B^c

  • Union means "or", intersection means "and", the complement A^c means "not A", and the difference A \setminus B means "in A but not B".
  • De Morgan's laws relate them: (A \cup B)^c = A^c \cap B^c and (A \cap B)^c = A^c \cup B^c.
  • On disjoint events A \cap B = \varnothing, so P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B).

Finding P(A^c \cap B) from Given Probabilities If P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P(A \cap B) = 0.2, what is P(A^c \cap B)?

Answer A^c \cap B is the part of B that does not overlap A: P(A^c \cap B) = P(B) - P(A \cap B) = 0.5 - 0.2 = 0.3