Actuarial Notes

Modified Duration

Study guide: Exam FM-2

Modified duration D_{Mod} measures the percentage change in price per unit increase in the Yield Rate j:

D_{Mod} = -\frac{1}{P}\frac{dP}{dj}

= \frac{D_{Mac}}{1+j}

\Delta P \approx -D_{Mod} \cdot P \cdot \Delta j

\Delta P \approx -D_{Mod} \cdot P \cdot \Delta j + \frac{1}{2} \cdot \text{Convexity} \cdot P \cdot (\Delta j)^2

Converting Between Duration Types A bond priced at 100{,}000 has a Macaulay duration of 7.5 years at a yield of 6% effective annual. Find the modified duration and the approximate price drop if yields rise to 6.5%.

Answer D_{Mod} = \frac{7.5}{1.06} = 7.075472 \text{ years} The approximation is applied to the bond's price, not its face amount:

\begin{align*}
\Delta P &\approx -D_{Mod} \cdot P \cdot \Delta j \\
&= -(7.075472)(100{,}000)(0.005) \\
&= -3{,}537.74
\end{align*}

The price falls by about 3.54\%, to roughly 96{,}462.