Actuarial Notes

Layer of Insurance

Study guides: Exam 7, Exam 8, Exam GI-301

Layer of Insurance is the slice of each loss between an attachment point a and an exhaustion point b = a + l, written "l xs a", together with the coverage that pays it (primary, excess or reinsurance). Its cost is the expected loss that falls inside that slice.

X_{(a,b]} = \min(X, b) - \min(X, a)

E\left[X_{(a,b]}\right] = E[X \wedge b] - E[X \wedge a]

E[\text{layer loss}] = E[N]\left(E[X \wedge b] - E[X \wedge a]\right)

  • X is the ground-up severity, N the claim count and E[X \wedge u] the limited expected value. Equivalently, E[X_{(a,b]}] = \int_a^b S(x)\,dx with S = 1 - F — the horizontal strip of a Lee diagram between a and b.
  • Frequency and severity in the layer. E[N]\,S(a) claims are expected to reach the layer. Each pays on average \left(E[X \wedge b] - E[X \wedge a]\right)/S(a). This is how Frequency and Severity distributions give the expected losses by layer.
  • Cost given the overall loss cost. Layer loss cost = \text{overall loss cost} \times \dfrac{E[X \wedge b] - E[X \wedge a]}{E[X]}. In ILF form, it is the basic-limits loss cost \times\,[\text{ILF}(b) - \text{ILF}(a)]. The bottom layer below a deductible is the LER.
  • Properties. Layers stack: the layers of a tower add up to the ground-up loss. Expected cost per dollar of limit falls as the layer rises (the consistency test). Upper layers grow faster than the ground-up trend under inflation, and they report and develop later. That is why unpaid claims must be estimated layer by layer rather than by scaling ground-up results — see Excess Insurance and Excess and Deductible Rating.

Expected Losses in a Layer from Frequency and Severity Claims arrive with a Poisson mean of 20 per year. Severity is Pareto with \alpha = 2 and \theta = \$100{,}000, so E[X \wedge u] = \dfrac{\theta u}{\theta + u} and S(x) = \left(\dfrac{\theta}{\theta + x}\right)^2. Find the expected annual loss in the layer \$400{,}000 xs \$100{,}000, the expected number of claims reaching it, and the average payment per such claim.

Answer

\begin{align*}
E[X \wedge 500\text{K}] &= \frac{100{,}000 \times 500{,}000}{600{,}000} \\
&= 83{,}333.33 \\[4pt]
E[X \wedge 100\text{K}] &= \frac{100{,}000 \times 100{,}000}{200{,}000} \\
&= 50{,}000.00 \\[4pt]
\text{Per claim} &= 83{,}333.33 - 50{,}000.00 \\
&= 33{,}333.33 \\[4pt]
\text{Aggregate} &= 20 \times 33{,}333.33 \\
&= \$666{,}667
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Claims in layer} &= 20 \times \left(\tfrac{100}{200}\right)^2 \\
&= 5 \\[4pt]
\text{Severity in layer} &= \frac{33{,}333.33}{0.25} \\
&= \$133{,}333
\end{align*}

The layer carries one-third of the expected ground-up loss (E[X] = \theta = \$100{,}000 per claim), from a quarter of the claims.

Cost of a Layer Given the Overall Loss Cost A ground-up loss cost of \$2{,}400 per unit of exposure has been set. Ten representative claims, in \$000, are 20, 40, 60, 80, 120, 150, 250, 400, 700, 1{,}180 (total 3{,}000). Price the layer \$500{,}000 xs \$250{,}000.

Answer Cap each claim at 750 and at 250, then difference the totals:

\begin{align*}
\textstyle\sum \min(X, 750) &= 2{,}570 \\
\textstyle\sum \min(X, 250) &= 1{,}470 \\[4pt]
\text{Layer share} &= \frac{2{,}570 - 1{,}470}{3{,}000} \\
&= 0.3667 \\[4pt]
\text{Layer loss cost} &= 2{,}400 \times 0.3667 \\
&= \$880
\end{align*}

The layer takes 36.7\% of the loss cost. That figure rests on only three claims (400, 700 and 1{,}180), so in practice the share would come from a fitted severity curve or industry ILFs rather than from this sample.